Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.003025 0.003168 0.003313 0.003473 0.003644 0.003821 0.004018
2025-04-20 0.002777 0.002991 0.003218 0.003478 0.003766 0.004078 0.004443
2025-04-27 0.002651 0.002912 0.003196 0.003529 0.003911 0.004338 0.004855
2025-05-04 0.002505 0.002792 0.003111 0.003494 0.003944 0.004459 0.005100
2025-05-11 0.002392 0.002700 0.003047 0.003472 0.003982 0.004580 0.005343
2025-05-18 0.002294 0.002617 0.002987 0.003448 0.004011 0.004684 0.005563
2025-05-25 0.002250 0.002594 0.002995 0.003501 0.004131 0.004901 0.005930
2025-06-01 0.002178 0.002534 0.002953 0.003490 0.004170 0.005014 0.006165
2025-06-08 0.002105 0.002468 0.002901 0.003462 0.004183 0.005094 0.006358
2025-06-15 0.002025 0.002391 0.002831 0.003409 0.004159 0.005121 0.006480
2025-06-22 0.001956 0.002324 0.002771 0.003363 0.004143 0.005156 0.006611
2025-06-29 0.001912 0.002287 0.002747 0.003364 0.004185 0.005268 0.006851
2025-07-06 0.001822 0.002190 0.002644 0.003258 0.004083 0.005183 0.006812
2025-07-13 0.001785 0.002159 0.002625 0.003262 0.004128 0.005300 0.007066
2025-07-20 0.001768 0.002154 0.002639 0.003309 0.004233 0.005503 0.007453
2025-07-27 0.001721 0.002106 0.002595 0.003277 0.004226 0.005547 0.007606
2025-08-03 0.001680 0.002068 0.002562 0.003257 0.004236 0.005613 0.007794
2025-08-10 0.001641 0.002029 0.002528 0.003234 0.004240 0.005671 0.007971
2025-08-17 0.001632 0.002029 0.002545 0.003283 0.004346 0.005883 0.008399
2025-08-24 0.001600 0.002000 0.002521 0.003273 0.004367 0.005967 0.008626
2025-08-31 0.001565 0.001964 0.002487 0.003248 0.004364 0.006014 0.008795
2025-09-07 0.001522 0.001917 0.002438 0.003198 0.004323 0.006001 0.008862
2025-09-14 0.001485 0.001876 0.002394 0.003157 0.004293 0.006003 0.008953